Thursday, August 12, 2010

AFC East Preview

AFC EastPredicted RecordLast Years Record
Jets13-39-7
Patriots10-610-6
Dolphins6-107-9
Bills3-136-10
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Good Fantasy Week
Bad Fantasy Week

New York Jets

Key Acquisitions: LaDanian Tomlinson, Santonio Holmes, Antonio Cromartie, Kyle Wilson, Jason Taylor, Brodney Pool

Key Losses: Alan Faneca, Thomas Jones, Leon Washington, Kerry Rhodes

Week 1vs RavensWeek 10@ Browns
Week 2vs PatriotsWeek 11vs. Texans
Week 3@ DolphinsWeek 12vs. Bengals
Week 4@ BillsWeek 13@ Patriots
Week 5vs. VikingsWeek 14vs. Dolphins
Week 6@ BroncosWeek 15@ Steelers
Week 8vs. PackersWeek 16@ Bears
Week 9@ LionsWeek 17vs. Bills

The Jets were the surprise team in 2009, going a lot farther and proving they were a lot better than most people gave them credit for.  Rex Ryan has turned the Jets defense into a force that nobody wants to mess with.  Unfortunately right now the Jets best player and the best defensive player in the NFL Darrelle Revis is holding out for a monster contract and there are talks he will not play this year.  For more info check here.  The Jets made a big splash this offsesason trading for WR Santonio Holmes (suspended), picking up future hall of famer Ladainian Tomlinson to take the place of Thomas Jones and help Shonn Green in the back field.  If Mark Sanchez can be an improvement over last year, which he should, the Jets offense should look good. They even got stronger, if possible, on defense drafting defensive back Kyle Wilson, getting Antonio Cromartie, and veteran Jason Taylor.  The Jets should win this division even without Revis, but they go from almost a Super Bowl lock to just a playoff team without Revis.

New England Patriots

Key Acquisitions: Torry Holt, Alge Crumpler, Devin McCourty, Rob Gronkowski

Key Losses: Ben Watson, Adalious Thomas, Jarvis Green, Shawn Springs

Week 1vs. BengalsWeek 10@ Steelers
Week 2@ JetsWeek 11vs. Colts
Week 3@ BillsWeek 12@ Lions
Week 4@ DolphinsWeek 13vs Jets
Week 6vs. RavensWeek 14@ Bears
Week 7@ ChargersWeek 15vs. Packers
Week 8vs. VikingsWeek 16@ Bills
Week 9@ BrownsWeek 17vs. Dolphins

A lot of Tom Brady's success this year will ride on the health of Wes Welker.  Welker coming off an awful knee injury is Brady's comfort receiver and Brady's #1 option.  If Welker can stay healthy expect a huge year from Brady and Moss as well.  The run game is what should slow this team down, as they don't have a true every down back, but with one of the best offensive lines they should still get the job done with a running back by committee.  A usually stingy defense in years past,  was not very good last year but with good young backs in Brandon Meriweather, Leigh Bodden, Darius Butler, and Devin McCourty, the Pats should still be considered a playoff team this year.

Miami Dolphins

Key Acquisitions: Brandon Marshall, Karlos Dansby, Charles Grant, Jared Odrick, Marques Douglas

Key Losses: Ted Ginn JR, Joey Porter, Jason Taylor, Akin Ayodele, Gibril Wilson, Nate Jones, Reggie Torbor

Week 1@ BillsWeek 10vs. Titans
Week 2@ VikingsWeek 11vs. Bears
Week 3vs. JetsWeek 12@ Raiders
Week 4vs. PatriotsWeek 13vs Browns
Week 6@ PackersWeek 14@ Jets
Week 7vs. SteelersWeek 15vs. Bills
Week 8@ BengalsWeek 16vs. Lions
Week 9@ RavensWeek 17@ Patriots

There is a chance the Dolphins can outplay and finish better than the Pats this year, but just take a look at that schedule and you'll see why we project around 6 wins this year.  Quarterback Chad Henne will have a lot of pressure this year to get it done.  He had a pretty solid year last year with a weak group of receivers but now has a Pro Bowl WR in Brandon Marshall.  It will be interesting to watch how they work together.  Henne will also have nice options in Davone Bess, Greg Camarillio and Brian Hartline.  With Jake Long, arguably the best left tackle in the game, and the top run blocking unit in the game, the wild cat should still work wonders as it doesn't seem any defense can stop it.  Ronnie Brown's health is a concern as he seems to miss at least a few games every year now and Ricky Williams is getting old.  With all the close games they lost last season, their defense is to blame, ranked 25th in pass defense.  The secondary is still young, as the Dolphins started two rookie corners and a rookie safety, but they were third in the NFL with 44 sacks so if they can stop the pass, the offense will have chances to win games this year.

Buffalo Bills

Key Acquisitions: Andra Davis, Reggie Torbor, CJ Spiller

Key Losses: Terrell Owens, Josh Reed, Aaron Schobel

Week 1@ DolphinsWeek 10@ Lions
Week 2vs. PackersWeek 11vs. Bengals
Week 3vs. PatriotsWeek 12@ Steelers
Week 4@ JetsWeek 13vs Vikings
Week 5@ JaguarsWeek 14@ Browns
Week 7vs. RavensWeek 15vs. Dolphins
Week 8vs. ChiefsWeek 16@ Patriots
Week 9@ BearsWeek 17vs. Jets

Lets face it, the Bills have no shot this year. Ranked 30th in the pass game, they lost top receiver Terrell Owens and Lee Evans, who was next to invisible in most games, will be the #1.  Trent Edwards doesn't belong starting games, but he will be because the Bills did not draft a QB.  It also wont help having an offensive line who gave up a leagues worst 44 sacks.  They have talented running backs in Fred Jackson, Marshawn Lynch and rookie CJ Spiller, but they waited until the 5th round to improve the O-Line so they wont have many holes to work with.  The Bills allowed the 2nd fewest passing yards, and had 28 picks and allowed only 14 TDs.  Their secondary led by corners Terrence McGee and Leodis McKelvin and safties Jarius Byrd (9 picks as a rookie) and Donte Whinter are one of the best in the NFL.  However it was a completely different story for the run D.  They ranked 30th, allowing 156 yards a game.  Not many bright spots on this Bills team going into the season, more than 4 wins this year will be a miracle.

We would appreciate any comments, opinions or questions.

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