Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Buy Low Candidate: B.J. Upton

This is the absolute epitome of a "buy low" player. Having the worst overall season of his career up to this point, B.J. Upton has fantasy owners and Braves fans alike in a heightened state of frustration. Given the inherent difficulty that comes with attempting to secure a player with a three year average of 23 home runs and 36 stolen bases, drafting the dual threat center fielder this year typically came with the cost of a 4th or 5th round pick. Time to take advantage of those who are still paying the price.

You are definitely not looking for batting average from a player that has not finished above .250 since 2008, but a .177 mark at the break is just too much to handle. Combine the average with just eight homers and seven steals, you have a player that most wish they would not have drafted at all.

The soon-to-be 29 year old was placed on the disabled list just before the break. A right adductor strain looks as if it will keep Upton out for at least the first nine games of the second half. The injury is not thought to be too serious. However, it does make your opportunity to deal for him all the easier.

Being drafted in 100% of Yahoo! Leagues and still owned in 74%, B.J. Upton owners across the board have to be chomping at the bit to get rid of him. Most will simply ask for anything of low to moderate value in exchange. With that in mind, your outlook should be that this is a "low risk/high reward" type deal.

Considering that he is managing a fairly solid walk rate with the lowest BABIP of his career, it is a safe bet that Upton will not get any worse. The high end potential is that he returns to the 2012 post-break form that resulted in 21 long balls and 16 stolen bases. If that happens, you have pulled off the trade of the season.

Buy Low Candidate: Doug Fister
Buy Low Candidate: Starlin Castro
Buy Low Candidate: Ian Kennedy

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