Tuesday, August 20, 2013

20 Team League Draft Report Card

Despite a Powerful Set of RBs,
KeithyP Seems Headed for the Lower Tier

Draft Grade: C

Ouch. Despite selecting in the top half of the first round (sixth overall), KeithyP looks a little soft on paper. They're projected to finish 16th in 20 Team League with a record of 5-8-0 (1,026 points). With six WRs on the roster, KeithyP might have more quantity than quality at that spot; their WRs are projected to average 82 points this season, fewer than the league average of 87. They have the most prolific combo of RBs in the league, as they picked up Jamaal Charles and DeMarco Murray for their fantasy stable.

The Season Ahead

While Week 8 has the most players on bye for KeithyP (5), Week 5 is actually projected to have the team's highest amount of idle fantasy points. They have one of the most challenging slates in 20 Team League when factoring in opponents' projected points. Along with the fourth-most grueling overall schedule, both the first four games and last four games of the season are about league-average difficulty for KeithyP. KeithyP has a well-balanced schedule this season, avoiding prolonged stretches against either the projected top or bottom teams in the league.

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Draft Notes

Strongest Position: With three better-than-average positions on KeithyP, K (12.5% above the league average) and RB (5.8%) are projected as especially strong units.

Hit the Waiver Wire: KeithyP might need to hit the waiver wire in Week 8, as both TEs they picked will be resting that week (Antonio Gates and Dallas Clark).   I have sinced dropped Clark for Knile Davis after Jamaal Charles suffered that injury.

Earning Your Paycheck: KeithyP will have some hard decisions to make each week at WR, with a scant projected points difference between their third- (Nate Washington), fourth- (Brandon Gibson), and fifth-ranked (Markus Wheaton) WRs.

On Autopilot: Selecting starting RBs should be a simple task most weeks for KeithyP, as the projected points difference between their second-ranked (DeMarco Murray) and third-ranked (Mike Tolbert) RBs is significant.

The Heist Is On: The other league managers passed over a diamond in the rough. According to ADP, KeithyP got a steal in snatching Blair Walsh in the ninth round (166th overall pick vs. ADP of 85.9).

No Country for Old Men: With an average of 7.1 years of NFL experience, KeithyP is the oldest team in the league.

How We Grade

Draft grades are based strictly on teams' draft performances. This is calculated by counting the number of fantasy points teams are projected to score over the course of the season using their optimal line-ups. The grades do not take schedule into account. Because of bye weeks and other variables it is possible to earn a high grade yet be projected to finish in the middle of the pack. The opposite is also true. Bottom line: Fantasy Football is like the real game. You can draft the greatest talent in the world but you still need to manage your team every week to get the most out of that talent. As a wise man once said, "On any given Sunday..."

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