We Talk Fantasy Sports: February 2013 We Talk Fantasy Sports: February 2013

Monday, February 25, 2013

Adam Dunn vs Ryan Howard - Who Would You Rather Have?

As mentioned in our position rankings, First Base has become a deep, dominant position again.  With tons of young talent to choose from, its hard to draft an ageing power hitting first baseman.  But to fill in the UTIL, DH & CI positions, these old school, all or nothing hitters can really help you fill out that HR, RBI and BB categories.  Yes, they strike out a ton, but that is part of the reason you are drafting Adam Dunn or Ryan Howard in the middle rounds.  But just remember, Ryan Howard is STILL recovering from that Achilles injury, and Adam Dunn hit 41 home runs last year!

Dunn managed to get just 110 hits all last season, leading to a .204 batting average but finished with a .333 OBP.  His 34% K rate was the highest of his career, so hopefully he can bring that down closer to the 30% mark and raise that average SLIGHTLY to increase RBI and 2B production.

Howard is still recovering that that freak injury suffered in the 2011 playoffs where he was the final out of the series.  The Phillies lineup is not what it used to be and is VERY old with Michael Young joining the team.  Gone are the days of Jayson Werth and Shane Victorino and the Phillies acquired Ben Revere to spark the offense.  I would love to have Ryan Howard with a pick in the 130-150 range, but I would never suggest reaching for him, or relying on him.  Howard's K rate nearly matched Dunn's at 33% but his limited ABs kept him under 100 strike outs for the season.

Fantasy Basketball Week 17 Recap

If you need help making a playoff push in your fantasy basketball league, go out and grab Jeff Green of the Boston Celtics and Derrick Williams of the Minnesota Timberwolves immediately!  These two strech 4s have put together excellent February's and can really make an impact fantasy wise. 

Jeff Green is averaging 16 points per game in Feb. adding 4.4 rebounds and 1.8 blocks per game!  He is shooting 53% in 31 minutes per contest and dropped 31 points against the Suns on Friday night.  The Celtics have come back down to earth playing without Rajon Rondo, but Jeff Green is stepping into the fantasy world in a big way!

Over in Minnesota, Derrick Williams has finally become that player the Timberwolves drafted #2 overall in the 2011 NBA draft.  He and Ricky Rubio are clicking and connecting on unreal alley-oop passes like this one, from halfcourt!  Williams is scoring 13.6 points per game in Feb. while providing fantasy owners who stuck out the roller coaster ride with 7.8 rebounds per game!  As expected, he is not shooting a high percentage at 41%, but the scary thing is the lack of the 3 ball.  He is shooting just 26% from downtown this month, yet is still attempting over 3 per game!

Do yourself a favor and look to add Jeff Green first, if he is already gone, than take Derrick Williams.

Listen to internet radio with RotoinfoXcomX on Blog Talk Radio
RotoInfo.com Basketball Breakdown Show is hosted by the Fantasy Nomad Michael Pichan (@FantasyNomad) & Hecman (@Hecmanhoops) of Hecmanhoops.com
Special guest co-host: Mark Kaplan (@DaTrueGuru) host of All Things Fantasy.

Show Topics:
Player Trends Emerging, Injury News, Add/Drop Recommendations, Look at up coming schedule

Saturday, February 23, 2013

Carlos Santana vs Miguel Montero - Who Would You Rather Have

Carlos Santana is being drafted 40-50 slots ahead of Miguel Montero this year, and if you go the Santana route, you’re paying for upside. A former top prospect, Santana has highly-regarded offensive potential and could be a major contributor to your team if he realizes that potential. However--they key word is if; Montero actually ranked ahead of Santana last season despite fewer at-bats, and if a repeat is in order, you will have paid a higher price to draft an inferior player.

Santana has the higher ceiling, but as I mentioned when I advocated against taking Buster Posey in the 2nd round, I think catcher is a very deep position this year. On Yahoo, guys like Aramis Ramirez and Shin-Soo Choo are being drafted after Santana; I would rather grab one of them at that stage in the draft, and get a guy like Montero later for my catcher slot.

Keith actually ranked Montero one slot ABOVE Santana in his Catcher rankings. Do you agree?

Friday, February 22, 2013

Yahoo Fantasy Baseball Registration

It's that time of the year again, Fantasy Baseball is back!  If you are looking to join a competitive Head to Head (5x5) league on Yahoo, we have the perfect league for you! 


Live Standard Draft - Sun Mar 24 8:00pm EST

Roster Positions:
  • C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, OF, OF, OF, Util, Util
  • 4 (SP)
  • 2 (RP)
  • 2 (P)
  • 5 (BN)
  • 2 (DL) 
Batters Stat Categories:
  • Runs (R)
  • Runs Batted In (RBI)
  • Stolen Bases (SB)
  • On-base Percentage (OBP)
  • Total Bases (TB) 
Pitchers Stat Categories:
  • Wins (W)
  • Saves (SV)
  • Strikeouts (K)
  • Earned Run Average (ERA)
  • (Walks + Hits)/ Innings Pitched (WHIP)
Sign up here!


Thursday, February 21, 2013

Milwaukee Bucks Acquire J.J. Redick

The Orlando Magic have traded lethal shooter J.J. Redick to the Milwaukee Bucks. In return the Magic will receive Doron Lamb, Tobias Harris and Beno UdrihGustavo Ayon and Ish Smith will also be heading to the Bucks.

This trade will ultimately hurt Redick's fantasy value as he won't be the best scorer on the team anymore. In Orlando he was able to take as many shots as he wanted because the Magic are 15-39 and simply lack scorers. He now moves over to Milwaukee where the Bucks sit in the 8th and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.

Fantasy Baseball Vision: Target & Avoid - AL West Edition

Our good friend Brett Barton (@BrettBarton_FBV) at Fantasy Baseball Vision will help you prep for your upcoming drafts. Last time he gave us the Target & Avoid players from the American League Central.  Follow him on twitter so you don't miss the Fix My Team segments and of course position rankings.

Houston Astros
Target: Jose Veras
The Astros could go down as one of the worst teams of all time. I would put the over/under on wins at 52 this year. But with 52 wins someone needs to Save 20 of those and that brings in Jose Veras. With nearly 15 other RP being picked before him who will not get more than 5 Saves, Veras is the last Closer off the board and the 45th RP being drafted.  To me a save is a save is a save and if you need, and I do mean need, a Closer late in your draft Veras will be there. Have you ever been in a draft where a Closer is going as the 45th RP off the board…me either? Look for 20 Saves and a K/9 at 9.0. To me, that’s still production and worth having in the 24th round this year. The only drawback to Veras is if he does shine he will be gone come the trading deadline. So draft him late, hope he puts up a dozen Saves by mid June then trade him to another manager before the MLB trading deadline. Remember a save is a save is a save.

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Houston Rockets Acquire Thomas Robinson

The Sacramento Kings and Houston Rockets have pulled off a six player deal that will send 1st round draft pick Thomas Robinson to the Rockets, in exchange for Patrick Patterson.  The Kings will also send forwards Tyler Honeycutt and Francisco Garcia to Houston.  In return, the Kings will receive guard Toney Douglas and center Cole Aldrich.

In a separate move, Marcus Morris will join his brother Markieff in Phoenix in exchange for a second round draft pick.

The Rockets clear up some of their clutter at the PF position and will most likely call up Royce White from the D-League.

For fantasy owners, Thomas Robinson should see a boost in production as he now has two guards who can penetrate the lane in Jeremy Lin and James Harden who can feed him the ball in a position to score some easy hoops.  I doubt that Honeycutt and Garcia will get much playing time in Houston but that's something to watch.

Patrick Patterson will get his 30 minutes per night (off the bench?) but don't expect much of an increase in production.  He will be playing with guards who look to shoot first, in Isaiah Thomas, Tyreke Evans, Jimmer Fredette and Marcus Thorton.  Also this guy named DeMarcus Cousins will be demanding the ball.  Jason Thompson should keep his starting job as long as he continues to play solid basketball.  They would be wise to be the team that gives Cole Aldrich solid minutes and just say thank you to the aging Chuck Hayes.  They have NOTHING TO LOSE!

Toney Douglas might get a big boost in playing time and Tyreke Evans could shift to the SF position.

Is this the start of the Fredette era in Sactown?

I FULLY expect Marcus Morris to get minutes in Phoenix as they continue to look for NEW players under new head coach Lindsey Hunter.  This also MOST likely means that the Suns have something else planned as they now have both Morris brothers, Luis Scola, Marcin Gortat and Jermaine O'Neal to play just 2 positions!

Sacramento Kings fans reactions
Houston Rockets fans reactions
Phoenix Suns fans reactions

Advanced Fantasy Baseball - Closer Reports

Our friend Jon Williams from Advanced Fantasy Baseball and Big Leagues Monthly brings to us the pre-season closer reports for EVERY team in Major League Baseball.  He lets us know who is slated to be the closer to start the year, who is next in line and then the sleepers on each teams roster.  Be sure to follow Jon on twitter @BigJonWilliams and the Big Leagues Monthy @BigLeaguesMag

Cincinnati Reds
Closer – Jonathan Broxton
Next – Sean Marshall
Sleeper – Aroldis Chapman
Super-Sleeper – Jose Arredondo

It would appear that Jonathan Broxton has recovered from years of abuse at the hands of Joe Torre. His strikeout rate and fastball velocity will probably never be what they were again but Broxton has learned to be effective with what he has which is a still a nice low to mid 90s fastball. As long as his control is there he should be an effective mid-tier closer. Only the return of Aroldis Chapman to the bullpen would force an effective Broxton from the closer role.

Click here to see the rest of the National League closer reports

Texas Rangers
Closer – Joe Nathan
Sleeper – Robbie Ross
Super-Sleeper – Joakim Soria

Joe Nathan completed his return from TJS with the Texas Rangers in 2012 and looked almost as good as ever. The strikeouts were there. The command was there. He did not seem to suffer much in the more hitting oriented environment. As he nears 40-years old, Nathan can be expected to fade a bit but there are not many signs of that in his 2012 statistics. Scheppers allowed a few too many homers in his first Major Leagues stint but he has the stuff to be the Rangers closer of the future. Joakim Soria was signed this offseason after the Royals declined to re-sign him as he rehabbed from TJS. Soria is expected to be ready by the All-Star Break and while he contribute in the second half, he is more likely to be of value in 2014.

Click here to see the rest of the American League closer reports

Sunday, February 17, 2013

Fantasy Basketball Breakdown - Western Conference

The first half of the NBA regular season is behind us, and brings many fun things to watch for in the second half.  The trade rumors are flying as the deadline approaches and names like Paul Milsap and Eric Bledsoe are big enough to draw every ones attention.  Milsap is destined to land on a playoff team and have an important role, while Bledsoe will most likely end up on a rebuilding team looking to add a future stating PG.  While Milsap's value won't increase/decrease too much, Bledsoe will see an increase in value if and when traded.

Fantasy owners need to buckle down and adjust their rosters to make their own playoff push!

Lets take a look at the Western Conference from both an NBA view and a Fantasy view:

Just like the Eastern Conference, we'll start with the bottom of the Western Conference and talk about the Phoenix Suns. 6 guys are averaging double figures - Goran Dragic, Luis Scola, Jared Dudley, Marcin Gortat, Shannon Brown and Michael Beasley. Unfortunately nobody averages more than 14, so they do not have one guy that they or us fantasy owners can rely on every night.

Saturday, February 16, 2013

Fantasy Basketball Breakdown - Eastern Conference

The first half of the NBA regular season is behind us, and brings many fun things to watch for in the second half.  The trade rumors are flying as the deadline approaches and names like Josh Smith and J.J. Redick are big enough to draw every ones attention.  These guys, if traded, are bound to land on a playoff team & will be a major part of that teams playoff run. 

Danny Granger is set to return to the Indiana Pacers lineup soon and that should spark some trades in your fantasy leagues.  I don't doubt that he will have an impact on Paul George's amazing first half, but I would not get rid of George if I owned him.

Will Derrick Rose suit up for the Chicago Bulls, or will he need to sit out the season in order to be 110%? 

Fantasy owners need to buckle down and adjust their rosters to make their own playoff push!

Lets take a look at the Eastern Conference from both an NBA view and a Fantasy view:

I am going to start from the bottom of the conference with the Charlotte Bobcats.  The Cats actually supply fantasy owners with some nice options.  Kemba Walker has been one of fantasy's better PG but had a bad February scoring just 13 points per game.  Go hard after Kemba while his value is low.  He is top 10 in scoring and top 12 in rebounds amongst PGs. 

The Price Isn't Right

Every year, there are a handful of players who get advanced up the draft boards more than they probably should. Maybe it's a big name, or the chic sleeper pick of the year, or a guy who had a strong second half. The problem is, as buzz builds around these players, they get drafted earlier and earlier, thus eliminating any "value" from the pick.

Strictly using Yahoo's current O-Ranks, I will simulate 7 rounds of a fantasy draft for a 12-team league, naming one player in each "tier" I will not be taking in that round. Note that I am not saying in any cases that these guys aren't useful fantasy players; I am merely saying I don't think the price will be right relative to the value they will bring. So, without further ado, here are the list of players who probably won't make my teams this year because I don't agree with their current prices:

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Fantasy Basketball Breakout Seasons - All-Star Break Update


Last year, PG Jeremy Lin, SG Paul George, SF Gordon Hayward, PFs Ersan Ilyasova and Ryan Anderson and C Nikola Pekovic had break out seasons and earned respect in the Fantasy Basketball world.  This year, we thing the following guys are going to take home the crown for the respective positions.

George Hill PG Indiana Pacers
  • My man, George, is having one heck of a season.  14.7 points 5 assist and 4 rebounds is nothing to be ashamed of, but he is being overshadowed by Greivis Vasquez' amazing 1st half.  Let's not forget that Hill will be getting Danny Granger back as soon as the second half starts and that will do two things: 1.) Open up that lane for Hill to drive to the hoop as Granger's defender can not help 2.) Because if Granger's man comes over with the help defense, Hill can dish it out to Granger who will knock down open jumpers with the best of them.  Also, Roy Hibbert is shooting 41%.  He is 7'2 and is shooting 41%.  What a joke! Hill should easily pick up 2 or 3 more assists per game with Granger back and Hibbert knocking down easy looks.  Expect good things from George Hill during the Indiana Pacers second half.
    • Preseason Notes: Darren Collison is now a Maverick and when Hill started last year (9 regular season games) he averaged 13.9 points and 5.3 assists in 32 minutes compared to 10 points and 2.6 assists in 23 minutes as a sub.  On top of now being the starter, Hill proved he is an above average 3 point shooter who is NOT afraid to shoot the ball from beyond the arc.

Monday, February 11, 2013

The Case for R.A. Dickey

R.A. Dickey may be the least respected Cy Young winner I have witnessed in my lifetime. People seem to think he will somehow implode due to age, regression, or Tim Wakefield. I expect some regression as he is moving to the AL. However, I do not expect a drastic decline. The following are a few arguments that people make against RA Dickey in 2013 that I try to counter:

1.) The AL East saw Time Wakefield.
  • 3/5 AL East teams that Dickey will pitch against saw Wakefield. And how many of the players actually had ABs vs. Wakefield? Regardless, R.A. Dickey is a different pitcher than Wakefield. His knuckleball averaged 77 MPH last year compared to Wakefield’s 65-67 MPH. Dickey’s FB averaged 83 MPH compared to Wakefield’s 72-75 MPH. Dickey also was more of a ground ball pitcher than Wakefield, which will help him adjust better to the AL East.

Fantasy Basketball Week 15 Recap

The Boston Celtics have now played 7 games without Rajon Rondo and to EVERY ONES surprise they are 7-0.  They have defeated the Miami Heat, the Los Angeles Clippers, the new look Toronto Raptors, the Los Angeles Lakers and beat the Denver Nuggets last night in OT.  Paul Pierce took over last night and finished with a triple-double, his second during this 7 game stretch. Kevin Garnett has had 4 double-doubles and also added in a 13 point 9 rebound night against the Kings.  Jeff Green has taken full advantage of Jaredd Sullinger's absence and is averaging 15 points per game in the month of February.  Jason Terry had his first 20 points game of 2013 last night and is shooting 54% in February.  Continue to roll out the veterans and expecting solid results.

Thursday, February 7, 2013

Quick Site Update

Listen to internet radio with TSCRN on Blog Talk Radio

Tonight I made my first ever appearance on a podcast, thanks to Route 4 Sports.  I had always been hesitant to join one or even start my own because I hate hearing myself on a recording.  I don't even like using my voice on the answering machine / voicemail message, but I sure am glad that I was apart of the show tonight.  It has relieved me of my fear and I should now have an easier time joining other podcasts and further expanding the We Talk Fantasy Sports brand, by growing our audience. Who knows, maybe I will be able to start my own show with my brother @Mike_WeTalkFSwhich might be the most entertaining thing ever!  If you though that Steven A. Smith and Skip Bayless "Embrace Debate" on First Take, than you have never heard two brothers "debate" sports.  Maybe we will even record some Google Hangouts (which I have yet to even try) with the sites contributors and other fantasy friends we have met through twitter.

When this blog first started, I just wanted to keep it simple and not fill it with pictures and videos. The intent was to provide quality fantasy sports information to people in a quick and easy read while allowing people to do their research while at work.  By filling it with pics and vids, page loads slow down and I fear it might prevent some people from returning, as they fear being caught doing anything other than work.  Yes,I know that is probably just my own fear as Bleacher Report is nothing put pictures but nonetheless.  I have slowly started to add some advertising to the page, as well as joined the Yardbarker Network and am sharing our posts with Baseball Reference, Basketball Reference and Football Reference.  Using these recent network connections has increased traffic tremendously and has made me want even more, hence me over coming my Podcast fear. 

One area of growth I would love to see is on Facebook.  I personally use the links on my Facebook feed all the time, which would lead me to believe if we increased our Likes, we would increase our traffic.  If you have not yet liked us on Facebook, please take the time to do so now.

Be sure to check back frequently during the month of February as we will have some great Fantasy Baseball stuff going on.  You do NOT want to enter your leagues draft without doing your homework!

If you would like to get emails when we post new stuff, please click here and enter your email.

Join Us Tonight On Route 4 Sports Podcast

Join @SportsProphet1 @TheHarrisonian and myself tonight from 7:00 - 9:00 pm EST on Route 4 Sports podcast.  The NFL season may be over but there's still plenty to talk about.  Here are some of the highlighted topics:
  • Recap Super Bowl XLVII
  • Go over some of the highlights from 2012
  • Debate Joe Flacco's status among the NFL's elite
  • Key free agent players
  • What each team needs to improve in 2013
  • Alex Smith, Darrelle Revis, Wes Welker, Greg Jennings, Tim Tebow and more players that may be on the move.
Feel free to call 347-996-5176 and be part of the show.  Here's the link, just click and you're there The Route 4 Sports Podcast 7:00 - 9:00 pm EST

This is my 1st ever appearance on a podcast and I hope it's the 1st of many!

Wednesday, February 6, 2013

Pau Gasol Out At Least 6 Weeks

Update: Gasol is expected to miss at least 6 weeks!

Just one day after the Philadelphia 76ers lost Thaddeus Young for about a month, the Los Angeles Lakers will be without Pau Gasol for at least the month of February. Last night against the Brooklyn Nets, Gasol went to jump to defend a Brook Lopez shot, but got no lift and went down grabbing his foot. He stayed in the game the next possession, but you could tell he was injured. The Lakers power forward went straight to the locker room and was seen leaving the game on crutches. It turns out that he strained or might have even torn his plantar fascia.  The Lakers are already under .500 and are playing without .  The Lakers are already under .500 and are playing without Dwight Howard at the moment who is also injured. If you didn't own Earl Clark before, you better go pick him up now!

Earl Clark (34% Yahoo, 41.5% ESPN, 73% CBS) has been a valuable fantasy player for the past 30 days now, but has just jumped to must own status!  He is averaging 13.8 points and 10.4 rebounds over his last 5 games after averaging 10 points and 8.4 rebounds during the entire month of January.  The Lakers are short handed, and Clark has been their most consistent player.  It turns out that he, not Antawn Jamison was that guy who flourishd under Mike D'Antoni (Shawn Marion, Joe Johnson, etc.).

Read the Thaddeus Young post for the guys to go after to replace Pau Gasol.

Tuesday, February 5, 2013

Thaddeus Young Hamstring Strain - Out 3 Weeks

UPDATE: An MRI revealed that Thaddeus Young suffered a Grade-1 hamstring strain and he is expected to miss a minimum of three weeks.

The Philadelphia 76ers might be without Thaddeus Young until the All-Star Game and even longer if he has a complete tear of his hamstring.  Young had a terrific December, averaging 16.5 points a game while grabbing 6.7 rebounds a night.  His defense was superb tallying nearly 2 steals and a block night in and night out.    He struggled in January to just 14.4 points per game but picked it up on the board with over 7 per night.  After dropping 23 points on the Sacramento Kings and grabbing 15 rebounds, Young was limited to just 15 minutes on Monday night after suffering a hamstring injury.  The damage is yet to be known but he did undergo an MRI and we will update you as soon as we know the results.  What we do know is that he will miss a handful of games in a best case scenario so owners need to prepare to be without him. 

Monday, February 4, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Second Basemen Rankings

When drafting a second basemen this season, if it's not Robinson Cano it's not worth a pick in the first 5 rounds.  It's hard to imagine Aaron Hill being the #2 second basemen again and Ben Zobrist is now an outfielder, who I am pretty sure will lose 2B eligibility with Kelly Johnson on board.  Everyone else is just too risky, including Brandon Phillips & Ian Kinsler.  After Dustin Pedroia, there will not be too much range in terms of value so the #15 2B won't be to far behind the #6 or #7 2B.  Study and pick 3 guys you really like, and wait until you are forced to pick one up!

Same Face, New Place - Infielders
Who Would You Rather Have? Aaron Hill or Dan Uggla?

* - New Team
** - Sleeper

1.) Robinson Cano - New York Yankees

  • The final week of the 2012 season, Robinson Cano was as hot of a hitter as a hitter can be. The final 9 games of the year, Cano hit .615 (24-39) with 11 runs scored, 14 RBI, 7 doubles, and 3 home runs. Once the playoffs started Cano became a different hitter, only hitting .075 (3-40), scoring 1 run and driving in 4. I think it's safe to say the Cano we saw in the postseason is not the Cano you should expect for 2013. He will have Ichiro Suzuki and Derek Jeter hitting in front of him so he should get plenty of RBI chances and with Mark Teixeira, Curtis Granderson and Kevin Youkilis behind him he will score runs. Having the privilege of playing at Yankee Stadium 81 times, I think Cano hitting .310, 30-35 home runs, 100 runs scored and 110-120 RBI is very reasonable, and if you take a look at the rest of this list you will notice that 2B is once again a WEAK position in the MLB. Draft Cano early otherwise you might be stuck with a dud at the position.- @Mike_WeTalkFS
2.) Brandon Phillips - Cincinnati Reds
3.) Ian Kinsler - Texas Rangers
4.) Dustin Pedroia - Boston Red Sox
5.) Jason Kipnis - Cleveland Indians

Fantasy Baseball Catcher Rankings

Last year the Catcher position provided very little help for fantasy owners.  Buster Posey proved his knee was not an issue and dominated the position hitting 39 doubles, 24 homers and driving in over 100 runs.  A.J. Pierzynski continued to produce even at the age of 35.  Now playing in Texas, the warm weather should help him continue keep pace with the young group of backstops.  Fantasy newcomers Wilin Rosario and Salvador Perez give owners some nice new options in this years draft.  Outside of Posey and Joe Mauer (who you can argue against) you should not be looking for a catcher in the first three or four rounds.  Carlos Santana was last seasons #3 catcher and he was not even top 100 overall!

* - New Team
** - Sleeper

Same Face, New Place - Infielders
Who Would You Rather Have? Carlos Santana or Miguel Montero?

1.) Buster Posey - San Francisco Giants
2.) Joe Mauer - Minnesota Twins
3.) Miguel Montero - Arizona Diamondbacks
4.) Carlos Santana - Cleveland Indians

  • Santana will be a key piece of the Tribe’s offensive success this season. An important element to remember in his fantasy contribution is that the Indians want to keep him fresh and in the lineup, so he will play a number of his games at first base--which keeps him in YOUR lineup. Despite only hitting .252, he still hit 18 home runs with 76 RBI. If he can bump that average up with additional plate maturity, look out. - @RDevinHughes
5.) Yadier Molina - St. Louis Cardinals

Fantasy Basketball Week 14 Recap

Could the Boston Celtics be willing to trade Kevin Garnett to the Los Angeles Clippers?  That is a question Sporting News is wondering and thinks the deal would revolve around Eric Bledsoe and Caron Butler.  To me the move makes little sense for the Celtics as they have Rajon Rondo (who is lost for this season) heading into to next season and this one is pretty much lost without him.  Trading Garnett for a replacement point guard doesn't make you better when you trade Garnett.  The Celtics also lost Jared Sullinger for the season with a back injury this weekend so they would be left with Brandon BassJeff Green to play PF while Jason Collins and Fab Melo play center.  That won't work or win the Eastern Conference.  If Boston were to trade Kevin Garnett, I hope they do so looking into the future by acquiring draft picks and players of position of need (center) and / or under great contracts.  Teams looking to win the championship this season would be more than willing to part with those pieces if it meant getting Kevin Garnett's defense and leadership in return. 

Rumor also has it that the Houston Rockets are interested in Danny Granger of the Indiana Pacers.  Granger is close to returning so he could have immediate impact in Houston.  Carlos Delfino and Chandler Parsons would see a decline in minutes and fantasy value if they weren't involved in the deal.

Sunday, February 3, 2013

The Case for Adding Byron Mullens

Byron Mullens intends to play tomorrow vs. Miami, and it’s time to pick him up in your league if he’s available. As of this writing, Mullens is just 23% owned in Yahoo leagues, dropped by many after his injury news came out. He carries some red flags, sure, but as I'll show below, I believe he's one of the best values you can get among the pool of free agents in your league.

At this stage of the game, it's very hard to find guys who will become long-term assets for your league. Viable free-agent pickups generally occur at this time because of an injury making a player useful in the short-term, such as Eric Bledsoe with Chris Paul out; or a pickup when you need a short-term boost in a single category. Both of these types of moves can help you win your matchup that week, but these players rarely have staying power, either because the starter returns from injury, or because single-category contributors are a long-term limitation.

Saturday, February 2, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Vision: Target & Avoid - AL Central Edition

Our good friend Brett Barton (@BrettBarton_FBV) at Fantasy Baseball Vision will help you prep for your upcoming drafts. Last time he gave us the Target & Avoid players from the American League East.  Follow him on twitter so you don't miss the Fix My Team segments and of course position rankings.

Chicago White Sox
Target: Tyler Flowers

C Tyler Flowers is now the No. 1 catcher in the wake of veteran C A.J. Pierzynski signing with Texas, and the Sox have spent the last month talking up the positives of having Flowers start. Of course, it's just talk until Flowers can go out there and prove it on a consistent basis. Now Flowers is not an elite C or even a top 10 but he has legit power and could help any team, especially in 2C formats. His current ADP is 316 and that pick is coming in the last 2 rounds of a 12 team 28 man roster. I definite feel Flowers will out produce the 10 catchers being drafted ahead of him like Salty, Martin, Jaso, Suzuki, Castillo, Grandal, Ramos ect.  Look for a slash line of 21HR 60RBI .245BA.

Breaking Down Super Bowl XLVII

Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers
When: Sunday, February 3rd, 2013 @ 6:30 PM ET on CBS
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana
Announcers: Jim Nantz, Phil Simms, Steve Tasker & Solomon Wilcots
National Anthem: Alicia Keys
Halftime Show: Beyonce
Favorite: 49ers - 4 1/2
Over/Under: 47.5
Join Our Group on ESPN Super Pick 'Em and make some prop bets!
Ravens on Offense: Do not turn the ball over! The Ravens have pulled off upsets against the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots on the road by not turning the ball over. Joe Flacco has been almost perfect this postseason, throwing 8 TDs and 0 INTs. He did lose 1 fumble in the Broncos game but I think everyone forgave him after he threw a 70 yard TD pass with 30 seconds left in the game to force OT.

Breaking Down the Super Bowl Box Pool Odds

Based on the final score from 256 regular season games and 10 playoff matchups from the 2012-13 season, the following information should help you understand your odds of winning your Super Bowl Box Pool this year! 

What boxes did you end up with and how much did you pay per box?


Scores from ESPN
  • 0 appeared 72 times (13.58%)
  • 1 appeared 52 times (9.81%)
  • 2 appeared 23 times (4.34%)
  • 3 appeared 87 times (16.42%)
  • 4 appeared 84 times (15.85%)
  • 5 appeared 20 times (3.77%)
  • 6 appeared 41 times (7.74%)
  • 7 appeared 79 times (14.91%)
  • 8 appeared 45 times (8.49%)
  • 9 appeared 27 times (5.09%)
The winning team most commonly finished with a 4 (17.74%) while the losing team usually finished with a 3 (22.26%)!

The least common number for a winning team was 2 (4.15%) while the least common number for the loser was 5 (1.51%).

Ironically enough, the 10 playoff games this year have brought mainly 4's and 8's and never once produced a 6 or 7 (or 2) in their final scores!

Friday, February 1, 2013

MLB Auction Draft Tips & Tricks

It's time to welcome another member to the We Talk Fantasy Sports family!  Devin Hughes is  a recent graduate of Ohio University's E.W. Scripps School of Journalism, where he studied public relations.  Follow him on twitter for fantasy baseball advice all season long @RDevinHughes

Decide to try an auction draft for the first time this year? You’ll be glad you did. Auction is actually my favorite draft format because of the added element of strategy, but also because it is absolutely fair. If you want Miguel Cabrera on your team, you can guarantee you get him--if you pay the price. And if you want Esmil Rogers...well, you’ll probably get him in any format.

So while draft auctions can be a blast, they are definitely a different animal than snake drafts. If you’re doing your first one, I encourage you to try some mock drafts just to get a feel for things, notice trends, etc. Just like snake drafts, there are a number of team-building strategies that will depend on your GM style--I’m not delving into those here. However, I have made a list of general auction drafts tips that work for any team you’re trying to build:

Top Plays for Fanthrowdown 2/1

We consider Thursdays to be one of the worst days of the week. It’s a complete tease being right before Friday, and then the NBA gives us two games every week?! C’Mon! Well, it’s Friday and it’s a glorious day for oh so many reasons. We have a massive 12 game schedule tonight, and we’re going to be ready for it, and so are you. This Friday we give to you our top three plays at each position on Fanthrowdown.