Saturday, May 10, 2014

When Is It Time To Move On?

Some players get off to slow starts to the season and eventually break out of it. Others get off to slow starts and you wait and wait and wait for them to break out of their early season slump and it just never happens. So the big question here is, when is it time to move on?

There were a ton of players who started off slow but have quickly turned their seasons around in 2014. I think the biggest turn around has been made by the Seattle Mariners third baseman Kyle Seager.

20 games into the season Seager was hitting just .156 with 5 doubles, 0 home runs, 1 RBI and 5 runs scored. In his last 13 games Seager is hitting .353 (18-51) with 5 doubles, 5 home runs, 17 RBI and 10 runs scored. He turned things around in a hurry, just as fantasy owners were getting ready to dump him.








Then of course we have the two-time defending AL MVP Miguel Cabrera. As of April 21, Cabrera was hitting .206 with 5 doubles, 1 home run, 7 RBI and 3 runs scored. In his last 13 games, he is hitting .352 (23-65) with 6 doubles, 3 home runs, 18 RBI and 12 runs scored.

For pitchers, Justin Masterson was winless through April and carried a 4.84 ERA in 6 starts. In his two starts in May, Masterson is 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA and it appears he has turned his season around.

Ubaldo Jimenez went 13-9 with a 3.30 ERA last season with the Cleveland Indians, proving to the Orioles he has the ability to pitch in the AL. Baltimore signed Jimenez to a 4-year $50 mil deal. Jimenez went 0-4 over his first 5 starts for the Orioles but has since turned things around by winning his last two starts and allowing just 1 run over 12 2/3 innings.

Those are great success stories, but how about the guys who have yet to turn it around?

A lot of fantasy owners were very high on Allen Craig coming into the season but have been utterly disappointed. Craig was hitting .177 with 3 days left to play in April. He gave fantasy owners false hope when he 7-13 with 2 home runs and 5 RBI to finish out the month. He's back to where he started at the beginning of April, as he is just 2-20 in May. For the year, Craig is hitting .216 with 4 home runs and 14 RBI. Remember 2 of those 4 home runs and 5 of those 14 RBI came in a 3 day span.





Another good hitter who has had a miserable start to the season is Pablo Sandoval of the San Francisco Giants. Sandoval is a career .292 hitter but through his first 115 at-bats in 2014 he is hitting just .173 with 2 home runs and 6 RBI. The worst part about those numbers, is that he hit a 3 run home run against the Dodgers in the 6th game of the season. 104 at-bats later, Sandoval has hit 1 home run and driven in 2 runs.

A future hall-of-famer by the name of Derek Jeter is a guy who we all are waiting for to get hot. Through his first 111 at-bats, Jeter is hitting .252 with 1 home run and 7 RBI. Hitting at the top of a great lineup, Jeter has scored just 8 runs. Of his 28 hits he only has 5 extra base hits and has 0 stolen bases, so he isn't getting into scoring position, which is why he isn't scoring runs. Unfortunately at age 39, this is what Jeter has left in the tank.

Andrelton Simmons, the Atlanta Braves franchise shortstop is also off to a slow start. Yes his .261 average is nice, but his .287 OBP is abysmal. Simmons has 3 doubles, 3 triples, and 3 home runs but only 7 RBI and 8 runs scored. He doesn't walk so if he isn't hitting, he's not getting on base.

Carlos Santana has hit at least 18 home runs, driven in 74 runs and scored 72 runs in each of the past 3 seasons. However at the rate he's going in 2014, he won't come near those numbers. Over the first 35 games, Santana is hitting .137 with 4 home runs and 11 RBI. This is a guy who fantasy owners drafted within the first 5 rounds, and moving to third base, you figured he would be more rested as he wouldn't have to squat behind the plate every night. Luckily he has drawn 29 walks, so his OBP is over .300.

The Mets gave Curtis Granderson a nice contract to leave the Yankees and come across town. However Granderson has not lived up to that contract so far playing for the Mets. In 34 games, Granderson is hitting .175 with 3 home runs and 14 RBI. After hitting .136 through April, Granderson has slowly turned things around as he is hitting .290 in May with 2 home runs and 7 RBI.

After a 27 home run season in 2013, fantasy owners had high hopes for the Phillies Domonic Brown. So far Brown has provided little power. Through 120 at-bats, Brown has just 1 home run and 14 RBI. If he's not providing you with power then what is he bringing to the table? His on base is only .295 and only has 9 runs scored.

We are now in year 4 of waiting for Mike Moustakas to deliver. Sadly it doesn't look like 2014 will be the year. In 106 at-bats the Royals third baseman is hitting .142 and has an OBP of just .212. Yikes.

The White Sox got false hope on opening day when Alejandro De Aza hit 2 home runs and drove in 3, leading Chicago to a win. 36 games later, De Aza has only hit 2 more home runs and driven in 11 runs. De Aza is barley hitting over .200 and his OBP is only .259.

Over his first 4 seasons as a Yankee, CC Sabathia was 74-29 with a 3.22 ERA, a true ace. However in 2013 Sabathia looked worn down and was 14-13 with a 4.78 ERA. After losing a ton of weight in the off season, Sabathia felt good and looked to have a bounce back year. However he's off on the wrong foot. Sabathia is 3-4 with a 5.28 ERA.

Despite only making 16 starts in 2013, Clay Buchholz was phenomonal. Buchholz was 12-1 with a ridiculous 1.74 ERA and a WHIP of 1.02. Some fantasy owners felt he could put up similar numbers this season. They were wrong. Buchholz is 2-3 with a 6.44 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP.

Another Met making the list is Bartolo Colon. New York gave him $20 mil over 2 years after Colon won 18 games in 2013. So far in 2014 he has shown nothing to prove he deserves that kind of money. Colon is 2-5 with a 5.36 ERA.

How long do you give your fantasy players to turn things around before you go ahead and move on? Let us know in the comment section, who you have dropped this season and who you added to replace of them!


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