Monday, July 14, 2014

Movers and Losers - The Open Championship

Just like The Simpsons were snubbed for the first time for Best Animated Series this year at the Emmy's, I was probably one of the few to snub Zach Johnson. I can hear Homer's famous "Do'h!" resonating between my ears after seeing Johnson post four more consecutive rounds in the 60's, bring his current streak to 24 straight at the John Deere Classic. I don't discount missing Harman's win, but it was a little bit harder to see that coming, especially when the guy played part of his second round with a crowd member as his caddy. That said, like The Simpson's, the show will go on for me as well, even if my performance may not have been award worthy last week. 


Hoylake, or Royal Liverpool, depending on who's giving the commentary or directions, was the 2006 site of The Open Championship (the British Championship, then, to us Yanks) and the site of Tiger Woods' last Open Championship win. As this year's venue, Royal Liverpool plays host to a recovering Woods along with a dormant Phil Mickelson, resurgent Martin Kaymer, hot Justin Rose, and world-number-one Adam Scott. That short list excludes a significant amount of players who might contend.

Through mysticism, wisdom, arbitrary numbers pulled from thin air, and some serious number crunching, I assign each player a number, called The Aggregate, each week. That number, out of 100 with lower being better, is a collection of rankings and statistics that generally tell how a player has performed in the recent past and, for fantasy teams, can indicate whether is player is getting hot or cooling off. As I update my Excel Spre- *ahem*- Ancient Book of Knowledge with each week's performances, a differential is generated based on where they were, and where they may be going. One thing you'll notice, based on how the system works, is that the week's winner may not be the top mover. For my power rankings, I take this aggregate and combine it with past performance at that tournament to find my list.

Included below are my top 10 players overall, as well. Some of these players may appear here but not my Power Rankings, depending on how their tournament history affects their positioning and whether they're playing this week. This Top 10 should provide clearer insight as to how a player has been performing over the recent past. Note: European Tour results are not factored (yet).

Top 10 Movers
  1. Brian Harman - (+19.8) to 49.8
  2. Jerry Kelly - (+19.4) to 47.4
  3. Cameron Tringale - (+19.2) to 33.2
  4. Scott Brown - (+19.00) to 53.8
  5. Steven Bowditch - (+17.8) to 62.4
  6. Brad Fritsch - (+17.4) to 74.4
  7. D.H. Lee - (+16.00) to 71.8
  8. Troy Merritt - (+16.00) to 41.0
  9. Jhonattan Vegas - (+15.4) to 53.2
  10. Tommy Gainey - (+14.6) to 55.4
Top 10 Losers
  1. Robert Garrigus - (-19.00) to 53.6
  2. Michael Thompson - (-18.00) to 69.6
  3. Chris Kirk - (-17.4) to 38.2
  4. Tyrone Van Aswegen - (-16.8) to 60.8
  5. Andrew Svoboda - (-16.2) to 57.4
  6. Ryuji Imada - (-16.0) to 78.6
  7. Ben Martin - (-15.8) to 53.0
  8. Eric Axley - (-15.2) to 79.8
  9. Charlie Wi - (-14.2) to 85.6
  10. Patrick Rodgers - (-12.83) to 61.5
Top 10 Overall
  1. Brendon Todd - 7.8
  2. Rory McIlroy - 12.0
  3. Adam Scott - 13.2
  4. Jordan Spieth - 13.6
  5. Martin Kaymer - 14.4
  6. Billy Horschel - 16.2
  7. Steve Stricker - 17.2
  8. Jim Furyk - 17.2
  9. Hideki Matsuyama - 21.4
  10. Francesco Molinari - 21.8
Kyle Donovan
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