I'm going to take a typical golfer reaction to last week and blame everyone but myself for how my teams performed. I've noticed a marked decline in my points since I've restarted writing here and it has absolutely nothing to do with my terrible picks despite having the winner in my rankings for many of the weeks thus far. Death by analysis. Also, I've got entirely too much cultural theory and history clogging my mind that I can't see straight. Or I've got a working system that I just can't seem to pick the right players out of. Most likely that.
Risk and Reward
Risk and Reward
On any note, the Arnold Palmer Invitational features Bay Hill, a pretty unusual course with regard to fantasy golf. The track favors a dual-facet type of player, long ball-strikers. Tiger Woods proved this through his eight wins here, as he was typically one of the longest in the field and one of the best at getting the ball on the green. Although Tiger isn't playing this week (Woods is shooting for a return at The Masters), if you add in winners like Vijay Singh and Ernie Els, guys who were never quite the longest but even today aren't the shortest, and while there are some exceptions, that paradigm is very much borne out in the list below.
For those of you not familiar with my Power Rankings, I'll be listing the Top-15 with their Total Aggregate (TA), a number that combines recent performance with course history and some select other metrics, and the change (CHG) from the last tournament they participated in. Total Aggregate is out of 100, with a lower number indicating a better ranking. I've re-weighted course history some to try to find a better balance.
- Bubba Watson - TA: 12, CHG: (+1.6) - With no Patrick Reed or Jordan Spieth this week, you'll be hard pressed to find an American golfer playing better than Bubba right now. Granted, the same could have easily said about him last year, when his "allergies" forced him to withdraw. I know, I'm allergic to 82's as well. He's still without a finish worse than 14th on the PGA Tour this year, including a win at the HSBC Champions. Add in his recent track record here (T14 in 2013, T4 in 2012, and T24 in 2011), and he's as good as it gets here.