Before we jump into the D/ST Plays for Week 16, let's first take a quick glance at our cheat sheet.

  1. Low Vegas Point Total 
  2. Home Team 
  3. Facing A New/Inexperienced QB 
  4. Favorite in Vegas

1. Detroit ($2800)


San Francisco 40.5
Detroit -8.5

This game absolutely JUMPS off the page when selecting a D/ST for Week 16.  It is the lowest total of the day in Veagas.  Coupled with that, the Lions are a huge HOME favorite.  The stars have aligned for us to fire up this $2800 defense with full confidence.  The 49ers struggles on the road are well documented.  In addition, this is an early start handing the 49ers a huge uphill battle before ever touching the field.  The Lions have played pretty well defensively as of late. Darius Slay is emerging as a top tier DB in the NFL.  He has only allowed 15 yards receiving on throws to his zone over the last three games.  The 49ers are not exactly loaded at talent on either side of the ball.  Their latest full time running back Shaun Draughn is now limited and I have serious reservations on how effective he will be on Sunday.  The Lions D/ST makes all the sense in the world this week.  I would not hesitate to use them in any and all DFS/fantasy formats. 


2. Seattle ($4300)


St. Louis 40.5
Seattle -14

The only reason Seattle is not my #1 selection this week is the $1500 price different between them and Detroit.  Seattle is as hot as any team in the NFL on both sides of the ball.  Their defense has only allowed two TD's in the last three games winning each game by an average of over 25 points in each contest.  The Rams are only projected for 13.25 of the 40.5 total Vegas put on the game.  The Seahawks are heavy favorites, at home, low scoring total, facing a lousy Rams offense.  They have checked off every single box, but you will have to pay up for them. Seattle might be the heaviest owned D/ST in DFS this week, fading them for the Lions could be a very smart play and eventually win you some money. 


3. Denver ($3400)


Cincinatti 42
Denver -3.5

Despite what the Steelers just did to the Broncos, the Broncos still have the strongest defense in the NFL.  The Panthers are a very close second but I feel like the Broncos have a better overall defense.  DeMarcus Ware looks like he is getting healthier as his snap count has risen in each of the last two weeks.  Couple him with Von Miller who has 10 sacks all to himself, they have a very strong pass rush.  The Bengals are very capable on offense.  The only problem is, they are missing their signal caller.  A.J. McCarron will not be asked to do near as much as they were asking Andy Dalton to do but the Broncos will show him more looks than he is use to seeing.  McCarron is a fine young quarterback but getting your third professional start against this defense could prove too much for an inexperienced QB.  Denver has a more attractive price than Seattle.  They may very well be the second highest owned D/ST in DFS this week.  

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