Skip to main content

Fantasy Baseball - Buy or Sell

Mark Teixeira is off to a hot start, which is something new.  He crushed two home runs off of Jacob deGrom in the Subway Series, and then one off of Matt Harvey the following night.  With 8 home runs and 18 RBI, it's hard to ignore Tex anymore.  But that .242 average is here to stay.  In 7 seasons (including 2015) with the Yankees, Texeira is a .253 hitter.  He hit better than .300 in the two seasons leading up to his free agency.  That short porch will do that to a man!  As far as 1B goes in fantasy baseball, there are many options, making owning Teixeira a difficult choice.  If you are the 71% that owns him across Yahoo and ESPN, and someone offers you something you like for Tex, I would pull the trigger.  He hasn't played more than 123 games since 2011.

With the SS position being so weak, offensively, in the MLB, it's worth riding a hot bat.  Adeiny Hechavarria has the hottest bat in the National League right now and is owned in less than 50% of both Yahoo and ESPN leagues.  He has three 3 RBI games in the Marlins last 4 contests and is riding a 9 game hit streak!  He is this seasons Emilio Bonifacio, but until he puts up back to back 0fers, you might as well use him over Jose Reyes, Xander Bogaerts, Jimmy Rollins, Danny Santana and Addison Russell, who are all struggling.

r/FantasyBaseball has a discussion going on about Hechavarria

When Angel Pagan plays, he produces.  Problem is, he hasn't played in 100 games since 2012.  Pagan has hit .294 as a member of the San Francisco Giants and is hitting .355 in 2015.  He has picked up 8 hits in his last 3 games but only scored twice and drove in one run.  The Giants offense has only scored more runs than the Phillies and Brewers.  You know the struggle is real when Brandon Crawford and Justin Maxwell lead the team in RBI.  Buster Posey and Brandon Belt are going to be the reason Pagan truly becomes an above average fantasy player, but until their bats get hot (or Hunter Pence returns), Pagan can keep your teams average and OBP up and steal some bases.

Alfredo Simon is now 4-0, with a 1.29 ERA and 1.07 WHIP.  Yup.  If I owned him I would be looking to trade him immediately.  I understand that his success now dates back to 2012 when he joined the Reds, but he pitched out of the bullpen for two seasons, before making 32 starts last year.  His lack of innings pitched led to a rough second half last year.
The other big argument I’ve heard in favor of the regression monster devouring Simon whole is the fact that he pitched so poorly down the stretch:
  • Pre-All Star (18 starts) – 2.70 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 5.79 K/9, 2.16 BB/9
  • Post-All Star (14 starts) – 4.52 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 5.87 K/9, 3.16 BB/9
It’s a fair point, but I haven’t heard anyone bring up the fact that he very well may have simply been worn out. Simon pitched 148.2 innings in 2012 and 2013 combined; it would be a bit ridiculous to assume there wouldn’t be some serious fatigue-based noise in his 2014 data, seeing as he hurled nearly 200 frames. - FanGraphs

FanGraphs was actually high on him prior to the start of the season, but I think it is time to sell.

The Texas Rangers have seen Yu Darvish and Derek Holland go on the DL this season and are still waiting for Matt Harrison and Martin Perez to return from 2014 injuries.  Welcome Nick Martinez to the rotation!  The 24 year old lefty struggled mightily last season in 140 IP, making 24 starts and owning a 4.55 ERA.  But 2015 has much kinder, and Martinez is 2-0 in 4 starts with an ERA of 0.35 and 1.12 WHIP.  Like Simon, he does not strike out many batters, but Martinez does get 44% of his outs via the groundball, which has been the difference maker in 2015.  I am buying the kid in fantasy baseball.
Fantasy Baseball Buy or Sell