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Fantasy Football First Quarter Under Review

We are already entering Week 5 of the NFL and that means we have completed the first quarter of the fantasy football season (most leagues only play through Week 16).  We have seen lots of ups and downs and more than enough injuries to change the landscape of fantasy.  Let's take a look back at what has transpired already, and see if we think trends will continue, or if it's time to sell high on certain players.

Wide receivers dominate the top 25 (non QB) each week, with 54 of the 101 players (26 in Week 4, Rashad Jennings and Keenan Allen tied).  That's 54 compared to 35 RBs and just 12 TEs. 


Go figure, Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers are the only QBs to rank Top 10 in three of the first four weeks of the fantasy football season.  Brady was the #1 QB in Weeks 1 and 2.  Philip Rivers, Alex Smith, Sam Bradford, Tyrod Taylor, Joe Flacco, Cam Newton, Andy Dalton and the great Josh McCown have two Top 10 finishes.

Odds are, if you own Tyrod Taylor, you have another, better QB.  That is assuming you are not in a 2QB league and didn't draft Ben Roethlisberger or Tony Romo.  Put him on the trading block and see who bites.  Any QB that loses their top WR (Sammy Watkins) and RB (LeSean McCoy) could be in trouble moving forward.  Trade McCown too!

If you are crazy enough, go out and see what Andrew Luck's owners is willing to trade him for.  You will never be able to get him a lower value than right now!

Drew Brees is also a good sell high candidate.  We know he is playing injured and already missed a game this season, but he completed 33 passes on Sunday Night and benefited from an 80 yard TD in overtime.

This is a good time to acquire Derek Carr in a trade as the Broncos are next for the Raiders before a BYE week.  He is coming off his worst game of the season, and could struggle in Week 5, but I am a huge fan of the Raiders offense.  Amari Cooper is great, Crabtree has looked great (when healthy) and Latavius Murray is a beast.

Running Backs

Chris Ivory, Jamaal Charles, Devonta Freeman, Adrian Peterson, Frank Gore and Le'Veon Bell are the only RBs to have finished in the top 25 (non QB) twice.  If you own these guys, unless you are overwhelmed with a trade offer, do not let them go.  Consistency at the RB position is hard to find. 

If you so happen to be lucky enough to own Freeman and two other RBs you like better, people would love to own the Falcons RB.  With Tevin Coleman coming back, his workload could slow down but I doubt it really hurts him.  Don't just make a move to make a move, remember BYE weeks are here!

Marshawn Lynch is hurt and the Seahawks offensive line looked awful on Monday Night.  I would targets Beastmode in a buy low scenario, but do not overpay, that's why it's called BUY LOW!

Melvin Gordon hasn't done much...yet.  I would target him in non PPR leagues.  He has seen at least 12 carries in all four of San Diego's games, but is not involved in the pass attack.  .  He has five weeks until the Chargers BYE as well.

Lamar Miller is another RB I would target in a buy low scenario.  The Dolphins are a mess and with a new head coach, who knows how the offense will operate.  What I do know is that Miller is a real talent and the Dolphins would be wise to make him the focal point of the offense moving forward.

T.J. Yeldon rushed for 105 yards on 22 carries for the Jaguars in Week 4 and if I owned him, would be looking to move him.  It was the second time this season he saw 20+ carries, but I just do not think the Jaguars are built to run the football.  On 70 carries, Yeldon has just one run of 20+ yards.  Blake Bortles will get Julius Thomas back and has real nice weapons in Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns.  Add that to playing from behind often and Yeldon will be limited in fantasy production.

Wide Receivers

Julio Jones, DeAndre Hopkins and Keenan Allen are the only three players that have found themselves in the Top 25 in three of the first four weeks.  Antonio Brown, James Jones, Tavon Austin, Kendall Wright, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Marshall, Leonard Hankerson and Jeremy Maclin are the only receivers to have made the list twice.  I would be more than willing to move Tavon Austin and Kendall Wright. 

I like Hankerson as the Falcons #2 receiver, taking over for Roddy White, who like Andre Johnson, you might want to just drop in a waiver move.  I can't believe I just wrote that, but it's the honest truth.

Go trade for Mike Evans.  He has had just one good game and the Buccaneers have a BYE the week after next.  Frustrated fantasy owners are easy targets!

Do you own Martavis Bryant?  If you do, see what people are willing to offer you for him.  With Michael Vick under center, he could have really limited value.

Try and acquire John Brown in a trade - sure Larry Fitzgerald has more than twice his targets, but Browns is a near lock for 3-5 catches for ~50 yards.  Carson Palmer will have to spread the ball if the Cardinals want to keep winning.  Once Andre Ellington returns, things could get better for Brown.

You have two weeks to trade Mike Wallace with the Vikings off this week.  He is too TD reliant for my liking, especially in PPR leagues.

Tight Ends

Rob Gronkowski could have joined Jones, Hopkins and Allen if the Patriots had played in Week 4.  Gronk has finished in the top 25 twice in three games. 

Moving forward, Gary Barnidge is a great option on waivers, totaling 180 receiving yards on 12 receptions scoring twice in the Browns last two contests.  That's with Josh McCown at QB, not Johnny Manziel!  He is also great trade bait if you added him in Gronk's absence!

Antonio Gates and Julius Thomas should finally see the field in Week 5.

Fantasy Football Buy Low Sell High