Rumor has it that WRs breakout in their third year in the league. Last year, it was Davante Adams blowing up for 12 touchdowns, DeAndre Hopkins the year before with 1,500 yards & 11 scores and in 2014, T.Y. Hilton averaged 16.4 yards per reception. This year, there are plenty of candidates poised for a breakout season, but how many of them are going to be on your fantasy football roster?
2017 Fantasy Football Projections for 3rd Year Receivers
ADP vis Fantasy Football Calculator
Cooper took the league by storm as a rookie out of Alabama and has posted back to back 1,000 yard seasons, in his first two years. He is just the 5th WR since 2000 to do that, joining Odell Beckham, Mike Evans, A.J. Green and Marques Colston. What he has not done is hit double digit touchdowns yet, thanks to Seth Roberts stealing all the red zone targets.
Diggs is ready for the main stage entering his 3rd year, 2nd with QB Sam Bradford. He saw 111 targets in 13 games last year and averaged 14.9 PPR points per game, good for WR13. He has only scored 7 touchdowns in two years, but if he can set a career high in TDs this year (5 or more) he will have unbelievable value with an ADP ~60.
Benjamin's sophomore slump still produced 940 yards and 7 touchdowns. If that is his floor, the ceiling is the roof! Benjamin is the next WR off draft boards after Diggs.
Snead has seen 100 targets in each of his first two seasons. Only 20 WRs have seen that much volume to start their careers since 2000. With Brandin Cooks gone, Sneed could see 30, 40 or even 50 more targets in 2017 to build on 895 yards and four touchdowns. His ADP is slightly ahead of Diggs and Benjamin.
Click here to read a post I wrote on Meredith back in May:
Meredith posted four 100 yard games last year, twice in back to back weeks. In weeks 3 & 4, he totaled 20 catches (27 targets) and gained 243 yards and a TD against the Colts and Titans. Brian Hoyer was the Bears QB for those two games.There is much love for Crowder in Washington now that Kirk Cousins lost DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon this offseason (214 targets). He saw 99 targets even with those guys around and scored 7 touchdowns.
Jamison Crowder has a knack for getting open down the field pic.twitter.com/J0OMXI1jei— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) July 24, 2017
Most PPR Points by Third Year WRs
ICYMI: I looked at every wide receiver to enter the NFL since 2005 and analyzed the Third Year WR Breakout Theory https://t.co/PC5xsqpXdk— Eric Iannaccone PPR (@pprranks) April 12, 2017